A correct score prediction names the exact final score of a match, for example 1-1 or 2-0. Below are the picks for today and tomorrow. Each one is the single most likely scoreline according to our model, built from bookmaker prices, with the model price shown next to it.
Correct Score Predictions
11 Oct to 12 Oct 2026Odds shown are our model price (1 divided by the model probability), not a bookmaker price. Bookmakers usually offer lower odds on the same score, so always check the current price before you bet.
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The archive fills up as selections are settled. Every day we publish stays here, win or lose.
Is There A 100% Sure Correct Score Prediction?
No. Exact score is the hardest market in football. Even the most likely scoreline of a match usually has a probability of only 10 to 17 percent, so it misses far more often than it hits. Anyone selling a “100% sure” or “fixed” correct score is not telling the truth.
That is why we show the probability behind every pick and settle each one in the public archive above, wins and losses alike. You can see for yourself how often exact scores land.
How We Pick Our Correct Score Predictions
- We take the match winner and over/under 2.5 goals prices from the bookmaker and remove the margin to get fair probabilities.
- We fit the number of goals each team is expected to score so that a simple model reproduces those probabilities.
- A Poisson model then gives the probability of every scoreline from 0-0 upwards.
- We publish the most likely one, with its fair price (1 divided by the probability).
If the model cannot reproduce the market closely, or a price is missing, the match is skipped. On quiet days you will see fewer picks rather than padded ones. The odds in the table are our model price, not a bookmaker price.
Why Most Picks Are 1-1, 1-0 Or 0-0
Most professional matches produce two or three goals in total, and the low scores are the single most likely results in that range. Even when one team is the clear favourite, 1-0 or 2-0 is usually more likely than any single high-scoring result. Our model shows this honestly: it rarely names 3-2 or 4-1, because no single high score is ever the most likely outcome.
| Score | Why it is common | Typical match |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | Both sides score once, neither takes control | Evenly matched teams |
| 1-0 | One goal decides a tight game | Slight favourite, cautious play |
| 2-1 | An open game with a narrow winner | Attacking teams, weak defences |
| 2-0 | A clear favourite takes control | Strong home side against a weak visitor |
| 0-0 | Two cautious sides or very good defences | Low-scoring leagues, cup ties |
How To Bet Correct Scores Sensibly
- Keep stakes small. An exact score is a long shot even when it is the most likely score.
- Compare the price. If your bookmaker offers more than our model price, the bet has value. If it offers less, skip it.
- Think about covering two scores, such as 1-0 and 1-1, if your bookmaker lets you and the combined price still makes sense.
- Avoid sellers of fixed matches or guaranteed scores. They do not exist, and the payment is the only thing that is certain.
Correct Score Compared With Other Markets
| Market | What you predict | Where to find it |
|---|---|---|
| Correct score | The exact final score | This page |
| BTTS | Both teams score | BTTS Tips |
| Over 2.5 goals | Three or more goals in the match | Over 2.5 Goals Predictions |
| Match winner | Which team wins | Direct Win Prediction Tips |
| Low-odds picks | Short prices, higher strike rate | Daily 98 Winning Tips |
If an exact score feels too hard to call, these markets are easier to hit, at lower odds.
Correct Score Prediction FAQ
What is a correct score prediction?
It is a bet on the exact final score of a match after 90 minutes, for example 2-1. The bet only wins if both numbers are right.
How accurate are correct score predictions?
Not very, and any honest source will say so. The most likely score in a match typically has a probability of 10 to 17 percent, which means about one pick in six to ten wins. We publish every result in the archive so you can check.
Can a correct score be 100% sure?
No. Football is too unpredictable, and no tipster can guarantee an exact result. Treat “sure score” and “fixed match” offers as scams.
How do you calculate the correct score?
We start from bookmaker prices for the match winner and for over/under 2.5 goals, remove the margin, and use a Poisson model to turn them into the probability of each scoreline.
Why are the odds in your table different from my bookmaker?
The odds shown are our model price, which is 1 divided by the probability we calculate. Bookmakers add their own margin, so their price for the same score is usually lower.
Are your correct score tips free?
Yes. The picks for today and tomorrow are free, and every result stays in the public archive.
Which is the best correct score prediction site?
Be wary of anyone who claims a high hit rate. The best sign of an honest site is a public archive with losses in it. Ours is above.
A note on betting. No tip is a promise. Keep your stakes small and bet only what you can afford to lose. Read more on our About Us page.